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More than $5.4 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expire today on Deribit, marking one of the year’s largest expiries. Traders remain cautiously bullish despite structural warnings, with Bitcoin’s max pain at $107,000 and Ethereum near $3,800. Short volatility bets dominate, setting the stage for major market swings.
Bitcoin’s once sky-high forecasts are cooling, with ARK Invest and Galaxy Digital revising targets lower amid rising stablecoin dominance and shifting market dynamics that signal a new era of steadier growth.
Overnight, the US stock market experienced its worst trading day since April, with the retail-heavy stock index plunging 3.6% and the Nasdaq dropping more than 2%. Poor earnings from Palantir and bearish bets by Michael Burry triggered a sell-off, while increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market added to retail investor pressure. Market sentiment remains tense, and further declines may follow. Summary generated by Mars AI. The accuracy and completeness of this summary are still being iteratively improved by the Mars AI model.
In November 2025, the crypto market experienced a structural turning point. The U.S. government shutdown led to a contraction in liquidity, pulling about 20 billions USD out of the market and intensifying capital shortages in the venture capital sector. The macro environment remains pessimistic.
Institutional funds continue to buy despite volatility, targeting a price level of $200,000.
- 17:01A whale shorted 1,232 BTC with 20x leverage, with unrealized profits reaching $28.7 million.According to ChainCatcher, monitored by Lookonchain, a whale (0x5D2F) has shorted 1,232 BTC (worth $108.63 millions) with 20x leverage, currently holding over $28.7 millions in unrealized profit. Limit orders have been placed between $75,819 and $79,919 to take profit.
- 16:53Numerai completes $30 million Series C funding roundJinse Finance reported that Numerai has completed a $30 million Series C funding round at a $500 million valuation, led by several university endowment funds. Union Square Ventures, Shine Capital, and Paul Tudor Jones also participated. The new funds will be used to expand the engineering and R&D teams, and a new office will be opened in New York City.
- 16:48"Machi" has been liquidated 145 times since the "1011 crash"According to Jinse Finance, monitoring by Lookonchai shows that as "Machi Big Brother" has once again faced partial liquidation, he has been liquidated 145 times since the "1011 crash." Previous reports indicated that as the market declined, Machi Big Brother's 25x leveraged Ethereum long position suffered partial liquidation, with total losses exceeding $20 million.