BONKning Golden Pocket: Meme Coin Bulls uchun yuqori uyg‘unlikdagi sotib olish imkoniyati?

Solana asosidagi meme coin BONK, o‘zgaruvchan meme coin bozorida yuqori xavf va yuqori mukofot izlayotgan treyderlar va investorlar uchun diqqat markaziga aylandi. Munozaraning markazida esa $0.00002345 darajasidagi “Golden Pocket” qo‘llab-quvvatlash zonasi turibdi — bu texnik va on-chain signallarining tutashgan nuqtasi bo‘lib, u yoki kuchli bullish breakoutni boshlashi yoki chuqur bearish tuzatishni tasdiqlashi mumkin. Meme coin bozoridagi bulls uchun asosiy savol: ushbu daraja strategik kirish nuqtasimi yoki haddan tashqari ishtiyoqli xaridorlar uchun tuzoqmi?

Texnik Tutashuv: Tuzilma Poydevorimi yoki Soxta Umidmi?

$0.00002345 darajasidagi Golden Pocket tasodifiy emas. U uchta muhim texnik indikator bilan mos keladi: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement darajasi, 200 kunlik harakatlanuvchi o‘rtacha va volume profile’dagi asosiy boshqaruv nuqtasi [1]. Ushbu tutashuv yuqori ehtimollikdagi reversal zonasini yaratadi, tarixan bullish tuzatishlarda ahamiyatli bo‘lgan. Agar BONK ushbu darajadan yuqorida tursa, narx $0.00002739 tomon rebound qilishi mumkin, yanada yuqoriroq maqsadlar esa $0.000037 va $0.000041 [2].

Biroq, bearish ssenariy ham shunchalik ishonarli. $0.00002345 dan pastga tushish hozirgi bullish tuzilmani bekor qiladi va narxni $0.00001971 ga olib borishi mumkin [3]. So‘nggi on-chain ma’lumotlar institutsional to‘planish va whale’larning sotishi o‘rtasidagi kurashni ko‘rsatmoqda. Institutsional investorlar $0.000024 atrofida o‘z ulushlarini 300% ga oshirgan bo‘lsa [4], whale wallet’lar 15-avgustdan beri 110 milliard token sotgan [5]. Ushbu tafovut murakkab o‘yinchilar tomonidan strategik to‘planishni ko‘rsatsa-da, retail momentumning zaifligini ham ta’kidlaydi.

Institutsional Ishonch va Derivativlarga Ishonchsizlik

15-avgustdan keyingi sotuv BONK’ning bullish narrativida yoriqlarni ochib berdi. Derivativlardagi ochiq pozitsiyalar iyuldagi eng yuqori nuqtadan deyarli 50% ga kamaydi [6], bu esa leveraged long’lar orasida ishonchning pasayganini ko‘rsatadi. 15-avgustda kuzatilgan bearish engulfing pattern bu shubhani yanada kuchaytirdi [7]. Biroq, institutsional faollik boshqa manzarani ko‘rsatmoqda. Safety Shot Inc. tomonidan BONK’ga $25 million investitsiya va Galaxy Digital’ning $18.75 millionlik birja transferi korporativ qabulning o‘sib borayotganini ko‘rsatadi [8]. Ushbu harakatlar va 2025 yil o‘rtasida BONK DAO tomonidan 1 trillion token yo‘q qilinishi token qiymatini qo‘llab-quvvatlash uchun strukturaviy asos yaratadi [9].

Golden Pocket’ni Kontekstualashtirish: Meme Coin Bozor Dinamikasi

BONK’ning Golden Pocket’i noyob imkoniyatmi yoki kengroq bozor naqshimi, baholash uchun boshqa yuqori o‘zgaruvchan meme coin’lar bilan taqqoslash foydali. Dogecoin (DOGE) va Shiba Inu (SHIB) ham Fibonacci retracement darajalari va simmetrik uchburchak naqshlarini sinovdan o‘tkazgan, biroq natijalari turlicha bo‘lgan. Masalan, PEPE’ning yaqinda 7% rallysi va cup-and-handle shakllanishi [10] BONK’ning deflyatsion mexanikasi va Solana ekotizimidagi integratsiyasidan farq qiladi. PEPE whale to‘planishi va ijtimoiy tarmoqlardagi sentimentga tayanar ekan, BONK’ning DeFi va NFT platformalaridagi, masalan, Moonwalk va BONK! Arena’dagi foydaliligi unga funksional qiymat qo‘shadi [11].

Oldinga Yo‘l: Yuqori Xavf, Yuqori Mukofotli O‘yin

BONK o‘zining Golden Pocket’ini xarid imkoniyati sifatida oqlashi uchun, avvalo $0.00002345 darajasini kuchli hajm oqimi bilan himoya qilishi kerak. Muvaffaqiyatli qayta sinov tushib borayotgan wedge naqshini jonlantirishi va narxni $0.0000264 tomon surishi mumkin [12]. Biroq, ochiq pozitsiyalarning kamayishi va bearish MACD signallari [13] qisqa muddatli o‘zgaruvchanlik xavfini ko‘rsatmoqda. Bulls shuningdek, $0.000021–$0.000022 oralig‘ini kuzatib borishlari kerak, agar qo‘llab-quvvatlash saqlansa, bu yerda double-bottom shakllanishi mumkin [14].

Institutsional qabul va deflyatsion strategiyalar uzoq muddatli ijobiy omil bo‘lsa-da, ular qisqa muddatli bearish bosimlarni bartaraf eta olmaydi. Keyingi bir necha kun BONK’ning Golden Pocket’i barqaror rally uchun katalizatormi yoki gavjum bozorda soxta tongmi, aniqlashda hal qiluvchi bo‘ladi.

Manba:

[1] BONK at Critical Support: Is This the Catalyst for a Major Bull Run?
[2] Bonk (BONK) Price Prediction: Bonk Eyes Rebound from Strong Support Backed by Fibonacci Signals
[3] Is BONK's Golden Pocket a High-Probability Reversal Catalyst?
[4] BONK's Technical Weakness and Institutional Selling Pressure Cautionary Tale for Meme Coin Investors
[5] BONK (BONK) Posts $50K 24-Hour Revenue: Trading Implications, Volume and Momentum Signals
[6] Bonk price declines as suppressed funding rate and open interest weigh on sentiment
[7] BONK's Imminent Breakout and Strategic Entry Points
[8] BONK Rallies Despite Market Volatility as Safety Shot Invests $25M
[9] BONK's Neckline Retest: A High-Risk, High-Reward Play
[10] Pepe Coin's 40x Surge Potential: Is It a Buy-the-Dip ...
[11] BONK at Critical Support: Is This the Catalyst for a Major Bull Run
[12] BONK Holds Key Technical Confluence Amid Uptrend Consolidation
[13] Bonk corrects into critical support zone backed by volume and Fibonacci confluence
[14] Bonk Rebounding From $0.000021 Support—Is a Triangle Breakout Imminent?