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Fundamental Overview MON Protocol launched in May 2024 as a chain-agnostic gaming publisher and IP engine behind Pixelmon titles such as Pixelpals, Warriors of Nova Thera, and Hunting Grounds. The ecosystem has grown to 1M+ community members, onboarded 60+ blockchain games, and secured support from Immutable, Solana, and Aptos. Despite strong ecosystem traction, the project faces a major challenge: tokenomics. Arthur Hayes recently called MON a “high FDV, low-float VC coin” and warned of up to 99% downside due to supply distribution concerns. His comments intensified market fear. Recent Market Developments Heavy Selling Pressure: Since its $269M ICO, MON has struggled. Price slipped 24% below its $0.0288 launch, triggering $3.23M in whale liquidations. A major position worth $6.5M was fully wiped, signaling poor leverage survivability. Institutional Disagreement: While Hayes warned traders to stay away, Wintermute founder Evgeny Gaevoy denied shorting MON and confirmed they’re long. This mixed institutional sentiment reflects ongoing uncertainty around fair valuation. Price Action: MON trades at $0.029, down 10.85% in 24h with $5M volume — relatively low for a new listing and a sign of liquidity constraints. Technical Breakdown Short-Term (15m) Support: $0.02849 Resistance: $0.03122 RSI(6): 58.2 (neutral) KDJ: 67.4 (light overbought) MACD: Flat histogram → momentum stalling Daily Chart Downtrend confirmed: EMA5 < EMA10 < EMA20 RSI(6): 41.4 → persistent weakness KDJ: 30.1 → nearing oversold Major support: $0.02135 Distant resistance: $0.0711 Order Book 7.5% sell-side imbalance Buy walls at $0.0289 and $0.0284 suggest accumulation interest, but not strong enough to reverse trend yet. Trading Opportunities & Risks Contrarian Long Setup (For High-Risk Traders) Entry: $0.0265–$0.0270 Stop: Below $0.0250 Target: $0.035–$0.040 Rationale: Wintermute’s long exposure and support from Monad ecosystem builders show institutional belief. But this means betting against Hayes’ criticism — a speculative, conviction-based play. Risk Notes Token unlock pressure remains the biggest threat. Lack of gameplay adoption could send price toward $0.01–$0.015. Avoid leverage — recent whale liquidations show MON can erase positions instantly during volatility spikes. Final opinion$MON MON sits at the crossroads of ecosystem promise and tokenomics danger. The project has strong gaming momentum, but high FDV, low float, and liquidity issues make it a speculative asset, not a clear buy. Only suitable for traders willing to stomach 30–50% drawdowns while monitoring the Monad mainnet and Pixelmon game adoption. Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile. Manage your risk carefully.

A whale purchased an additional 70.64 million MON tokens at an average price of $0.03267, resulting in a unrealized loss of over $250,000.

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