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OracleX Global Public Beta: Restructuring Prediction Market Incentive Mechanisms with "Proof of Behavior Contribution"

OracleX Global Public Beta: Restructuring Prediction Market Incentive Mechanisms with "Proof of Behavior Contribution"

MarsBitMarsBit2025/11/30 17:21
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By:OracleX

OracleX is a decentralized prediction platform based on the POC protocol. It addresses pain points in the prediction market through a dual-token model and a contribution reward mechanism, aiming to build a collective intelligence decision-making ecosystem. Summary generated by Mars AI The content of this summary is produced by the Mars AI model, and its accuracy and completeness are still being iteratively improved.

December 1, 2025 — The decentralized prediction platform OracleX, based on the "Proof-of-Contribution" (POC) protocol, will launch its global public beta. As the world's first decentralized collective consensus platform based on collective intelligence, OracleX aims to systematically address three core pain points in current prediction markets—"disconnect between value contribution and rewards," "high participation thresholds," and "black-box operations"—through an innovative dual-token model and an inclusive mechanism where contribution equals benefit, thereby building the next-generation decision-support ecosystem that bridges the real world and the digital economy.

The Call of the Times: From "Individual Cognitive Limitations" to "Collective Intelligent Decision-Making"

We are currently in an era full of uncertainty, where technological revolutions are reshaping industry landscapes, geopolitical situations are impacting global supply chains, and macroeconomic cycles and asset price trends are difficult to predict. In this complex environment, the cognitive boundaries of individuals or organizations are limited, and accurate forecasting of the future has shifted from being a "competitive advantage" in business decisions to a rigid requirement for survival and development.

The widespread demand for accurate forecasting in society stands in sharp contrast to the current reality of information overload, centralization, and the failure of traditional models. Prediction markets are the key to breaking this deadlock: through decentralization and incentive mechanisms, they aggregate dispersed individual knowledge and market signals, transforming the independent judgments of global participants into a continuously updated "collective intelligence decision-making tool." During the 2024 U.S. election, Polymarket aggregated collective intelligence with over 3.6 billion USD in bets, achieving a Brier Score as low as 0.05-0.06, far surpassing traditional polls' 0.21-0.22, fully demonstrating the power of this mechanism.

OracleX Global Public Beta: Restructuring Prediction Market Incentive Mechanisms with

However, industry data shows that current prediction markets face severe challenges: Polymarket creates 35,000 new markets per month but suffers from severely fragmented liquidity, and Kalshi relies on sports events for 85% of its trading volume but has a single category. More fundamentally, users on existing platforms can only participate as traders and cannot share in the platform's growth dividends, resulting in a structural disconnect between value contribution and rewards.

OracleX Global Public Beta: Restructuring Prediction Market Incentive Mechanisms with

Core Innovation: POC Proof-of-Contribution Restructures the Incentive System

Developed by a blockchain research team, OracleX released its technical whitepaper on October 31, 2025—coinciding with the 16th anniversary of the Bitcoin whitepaper—on GitHub, introducing a brand-new "Proof-of-Contribution" (POC) mechanism.

"Our core philosophy is to treat prediction behavior itself as a contribution to the ecosystem and to reward it accordingly," the whitepaper states. "The current dilemma of prediction markets is that users, as the core sources of 'liquidity' and 'information contribution' for the ecosystem, cannot fairly share in the platform's growth dividends—they are merely 'players,' not 'co-builders.' The POC mechanism aims to create an inclusive ecosystem where everyone can participate and benefit from their contributions."

The operation logic of the POC mechanism is: when users participate in any event prediction, the system automatically calculates and distributes OEX token rewards daily based on transaction volume and activity. This is equivalent to users obtaining "equity" in the ecosystem at "zero cost" by participating in predictions, greatly incentivizing user activity and stickiness. Specifically, users' additional POC rewards are related to three dimensions:

Number of Votes (Weight 30%): Participating in more than 3 predictions in a day earns the full mining reward, up to 0.06%/day;

Accuracy Rate (Weight 20%): Achieving an accuracy rate above 66% in a day earns the full mining reward, up to 0.04%/day;

Trading Volume (Weight 50%): Reaching a daily trading volume of 100 USDX earns the full mining reward, up to 0.1%/day.

This precise design ensures that incentive resources are accurately directed to participants who continuously provide high-quality information contributions. Users can not only earn profits through predictions but also gain platform governance rights through continuous contributions, truly becoming builders and owners of the ecosystem.

Dual-Token Value Flywheel: OEX+USDX Builds an Economic Moat

OracleX adopts an innovative dual-token algorithmic stable model, forming a complete economic closed loop with the core governance token OEX and the stable trading medium USDX. This design solves the contradiction that a single token cannot balance "value growth" and "price stability."

OEX (Ecosystem Governance Engine): The platform's governance token, with a total issuance of 10 billion, represents the platform's "equity shares," and its value grows with the ecosystem. Of this, 51% is distributed through POC mining, ensuring that the core token is fairly distributed through "contributive behavior," with power returning to the community. Users who stake OEX can receive multiple benefits: minting USDX for predictions, earning staking mining rewards (with daily yields ranging from 0.3% to 1.1% depending on staking duration), and participating in ecosystem governance decisions.

USDX (Ecosystem Stability Engine): The platform's stablecoin, always pegged at 1 USDT, serves as the platform's "stable fuel." The only way to obtain USDX is by staking OEX to mint it, with a dynamically adjustable output ratio (10%-50%) determined by community governance. USDX is used directly for event predictions, eliminating participants' concerns about price volatility.

Dual-Token Interaction: Staking OEX can mint USDX, forming a value closed loop of "using equity to obtain operating funds." More importantly, the platform has designed a self-balancing economic model: as the ecosystem develops (mining output from 0% to 100%), 2% of trading volume revenue gradually shifts from OEX buyback and burn to trading volume dividends, while the USDX minting ratio increases from 10% to 50%, dynamically balancing deflationary pressure and liquidity needs.

This mechanism ensures the ecosystem's long-term sustainability: in the early stage, buyback and burn support the token price; in the mature stage, dividends reward long-term holders, and increasing the minting ratio releases more liquidity.

Innovative Value Stability System: Avoiding Hard Liquidation to Protect the Ecosystem

In terms of security, OracleX has deployed an industry-leading innovative value stability system. Traditional DeFi protocols forcibly liquidate user assets during market volatility, easily triggering chain reactions and market panic (the Luna/UST crash is a typical example). OracleX's solution is:

When the value of a user's staked OEX falls below the value of minted USDX, the system does not perform a hard liquidation but temporarily transfers the user's mining rewards to the staking address, automatically increasing the value of staked OEX until the safe ratio is restored. This mechanism provides a buffer period for market self-repair, avoids massive selling pressure, and maintains ecosystem stability.

In addition, the platform has established a USDT over-collateralized digital vault (Central Reserve Fund) to provide final redemption guarantees for USDX, ensuring stable USDX to USDT conversion even in extreme situations and building market confidence. The dynamic minting ratio mechanism adjusts leverage in real time based on ecosystem health (within a 10%-50% range), ensuring the system always operates within safe boundaries.

Diverse Prediction Product Matrix

OracleX offers a multi-level prediction product system with a rich product layout that will be launched in succession, providing diverse gameplay:

Basic Prediction Models: Binary predictions (yes/no type events), scalar predictions (numerical range predictions, supporting continuous price discovery), categorical predictions (multi-option event predictions, such as election results, competition rankings);

Advanced Prediction Products: Index predictions (composite predictions of a basket of related events), conditional predictions (complex event chains with "if...then..." logic), range predictions (price range predictions, reducing single-point prediction risk).

The platform covers diverse scenarios such as economics and finance (central bank interest rate decisions, inflation rate changes, commodity price trends, cryptocurrency market trends), technology and innovation (AI development milestones, major product launches, technology breakthrough predictions), sports and entertainment (major event results, e-sports competitions, award ceremonies), and society and environment (climate change indicators, public health events).

Industry Background: Golden Opportunity in a Trillion-Dollar Track

The prediction market is experiencing explosive growth. From 2023 to 2025, this track has grown into a market worth tens of billions of dollars, with an annual compound growth rate of 35%-50%; it is expected to become a trillion-dollar global market from 2025 to 2030.

OracleX Global Public Beta: Restructuring Prediction Market Incentive Mechanisms with

Capital is pouring in: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) invested 2 billion USD in Polymarket, with a post-investment valuation of 12 billion USD; Kalshi's latest financing valuation reached 10 billion USD; the Trump family launched the Truth Predict platform through Truth Social; Coinbase announced the creation of an "everything exchange," incorporating prediction markets into its blueprint.

OracleX Global Public Beta: Restructuring Prediction Market Incentive Mechanisms with

Industry leaders are highly optimistic about the prospects: Matt Huang, founding partner of crypto investment firm Paradigm, believes that prediction markets are expected to grow as large as the biggest financial markets, or even larger; Coinbase founder Brian Armstrong envisions that prediction markets may become a replacement for traditional media in the future, becoming an important way for the public to access information.

However, existing platforms generally face structural challenges. Polymarket creates 35,000 new markets per month, but liquidity is severely fragmented, and users can only participate as traders without sharing in growth dividends; Kalshi relies on sports events for 85% of its trading volume, with a single category and dependence on event cycles; more fundamentally, both rely on external subsidies to maintain liquidity and lack endogenous sustainable incentive mechanisms. OracleX's POC mechanism is a systematic solution designed to address these pain points.

Genesis Launch: Triple Incentives to Guide Early Liquidity

To celebrate the platform's launch and guide initial liquidity, OracleX has introduced a Genesis Incentive Plan:

Staking Mining Incentives: Early users can enjoy the highest yields, with daily returns ranging from 0.3% to 1.1% depending on staking duration (flexible staking, 30 days, 90 days, 180 days, 360 days);

POC Behavioral Contribution Rewards: Daily additional behavioral contribution rewards of -0.2% to 0.2% based on the three dimensions of number of votes, accuracy rate, and trading volume;

Technical Moat and Compliance Commitment

OracleX is built on mature blockchain infrastructure, with all prediction activities, trading records, and fund flows publicly available on-chain, and smart contracts automatically executing settlement processes. The platform has completed smart contract audits by authoritative security firms, and the code is fully open source for community oversight.

In terms of compliance, the OracleX team closely follows industry compliance trends. Currently, Kalshi obtained authorization from the U.S. federal court in October 2023, and Polymarket received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to list in the U.S. in August 2025, making compliance an important industry development direction. OracleX promises to maintain active communication with global regulators, explore compliance pathways, and ensure the platform's sound development.

About OracleX

OracleX is the world's first decentralized collective consensus platform based on collective intelligence, dedicated to building an inclusive ecosystem where everyone can participate and benefit through the "Proof-of-Contribution" (POC) protocol. The platform adopts a dual-token model (OEX/USDX) and an innovative value stability system, systematically solving the disconnect between value contribution and rewards in traditional prediction markets. OracleX believes that decentralized prediction markets are not only financial tools but also fundamental infrastructure for redefining the paradigm of human collective intelligence and promoting the democratization of information.

Vision: "Insight into the Future · Prophesy the Truth," redefining the paradigm of human collective intelligence.

Technical Whitepaper:

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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