Bitunix Analyst: The plan was finalized at 7 PM, Russian forces immediately retaliated, and the window for peace may close quickly

BlockBeats News, November 25, the United States and Ukraine have just reached a preliminary consensus on the "19-point peace plan," but while the Kremlin has not yet received the official document, Russian missiles have already arrived over Kyiv, making their position clear in the most direct way. This hybrid strike targeted the capital's energy and civilian infrastructure, with multiple explosions echoing continuously. The Kyiv city government has initiated restrictions on water and electricity supply, symbolizing Russia's attempt to compress negotiation space through battlefield actions.

From a diplomatic perspective, Trump had recently expressed optimism about the prospects for a ceasefire and hinted that major breakthroughs had been made in the Geneva talks; however, the Russian military's attack that night seemed more like an immediate rejection of the "revised plan." Moscow had previously criticized the new document as "unacceptable," and its core disputes—territory and NATO arrangements—remain bracketed for leaders' decisions. This means the so-called "19-point consensus" is more of an internal coordination result between the US and Ukraine, rather than a feasible tripartite peace framework.

Bitunix analyst's view: The renewed escalation of the Russia-Ukraine situation will strengthen global risk aversion in the short term. For the crypto market, geopolitical shocks often lead to capital flow divergence: on one hand, some risk-averse demand may boost BTC dominance; on the other hand, liquidity contraction and leverage liquidation risks will concentrate pressure on small and mid-cap tokens. Considering the structural flaws of the peace plan and Russia's military response, if the situation continues to deteriorate, the market may return to a "high volatility, low risk appetite" range, and short-term volatility of crypto assets may be stronger than that of traditional assets.