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ICP Price Jumps 30% During Market Fluctuations: On-Chain Metrics and Investor Sentiment Fuel DeFi Token Surge

ICP Price Jumps 30% During Market Fluctuations: On-Chain Metrics and Investor Sentiment Fuel DeFi Token Surge

Bitget-RWA2025/11/25 01:30
By:Bitget-RWA

- ICP token surged 30% to $6.00, driven by AIO-2030's decentralized AI network launch and increased institutional interest. - AIO-2030 positions ICP as a core infrastructure layer for cross-chain AI collaboration, boosting token demand and market optimism . - Technical indicators show $5.40 support consolidation, with $6.87 and $8.25 as key resistance levels for potential further gains. - Rising futures open interest ($188M) and spot inflows highlight speculative activity, though long-term sustainability d

The Protocol (ICP) token has seen a remarkable 30% jump in value over the last week, rising from $4.70 to almost $6.00 amid a turbulent market and changing investor attitudes. This upward movement, set against a backdrop of mixed technical signals and speculative enthusiasm, has been fueled by a combination of on-chain developments and a major ecosystem milestone: the debut of AIO-2030, a decentralized network for AI coordination. This report explores the driving forces, investor trends, and technical factors behind the rally, while evaluating whether the momentum can be sustained and where strategic entry points may lie.

AIO-2030: The Spark Behind ICP’s Surge

The primary driver behind ICP’s latest price movement was the introduction of AIO-2030, a decentralized AI coordination network that

for secure, cross-chain AI interactions. Officially launched on November 21, 2025, AIO-2030 utilizes ICP’s blockchain for computation and state management, Base for handling payments, and Solana/BNB for cultural and branding tokens . This multi-chain setup prioritizes on-chain identity, verifiable attribution, and transparent task execution, where AI agents can engage with users and devices.

The launch has generated considerable excitement in the decentralized AI (DeAI) sector, with experts noting that ICP’s involvement in AIO-2030’s infrastructure has boosted demand for the token.

, integrating into AIO-2030’s architecture highlights its increasing significance in decentralized AI networks, drawing interest from both individual and institutional investors. Furthermore, institutional moves such as Inovia Capital’s expansion into Abu Dhabi—a center for AI advancement—have heightened ICP’s appeal, especially in the Middle East .

On-Chain Signals and Accumulation Patterns

Although direct on-chain statistics like transaction counts and address increases are limited, other metrics point to a rise in speculative and accumulation activity. ICP futures open interest

, indicating increased leverage and expectations of larger price swings. This uptick in speculation coincides with a $1.28 million net positive flow in spot markets on November 18, suggesting early accumulation around the $5.56 mark .

Technical analysis also reveals a recurring trend in ICP’s price action,

in the $3–$4 range after prolonged declines. The latest rally seems to have disrupted this pattern, with ICP now consolidating near a crucial $5 support following a sharp drop in November . The narrowing of Bollinger Bands suggests a possible reduction in selling pressure and a momentum shift favoring buyers .
ICP Price Jumps 30% During Market Fluctuations: On-Chain Metrics and Investor Sentiment Fuel DeFi Token Surge image 0

Market Mood and Technical Momentum

Investor sentiment toward ICP has fluctuated between pessimism and optimism over the past month. In October, the token rallied toward $9–$10 before falling back to the $3–$4 support area,

. The introduction of AIO-2030, however, has sparked renewed confidence. Analysis of social media trends shows a notable rise in positive attitudes about ICP’s role in decentralized AI, to the next wave of blockchain innovation.

Technical indicators support this change in sentiment. Both the MACD and RSI have displayed synchronized momentum increases during price rallies, with the MACD line moving above the signal line in October and green histogram bars expanding

. Although subsequent selling led to red histogram bars dominating, the current stabilization near $5.40 hints at a possible short-term trend reversal . Immediate resistance is now found at $5.91 and $6.87, and a breakout could propel the price toward $8.19 and the November high near $9.00 .

Investor Actions and Optimal Entry Levels

The recent price increase in ICP has been fueled by both retail and institutional participants. Data from futures markets shows that traders are increasingly betting on larger price movements,

. At the same time, spot market inflows indicate that buyers are accumulating ICP at lower prices, especially around the $5.56 support area .

For those seeking strategic entry, it is important to watch whether ICP can stay above $5.40, a level that has historically served as a strong support for the token

. A decisive move above $6.87 would reinforce the bullish outlook, with $8.25 as the next major resistance . However, if the price revisits the $3–$4 support zone, caution is advised as this could trigger renewed downward pressure.

Sustainability and Potential Risks

Although the AIO-2030 launch has provided a compelling narrative for ICP’s rally, the token’s continued strength will depend on broader market trends and increased on-chain usage. The absence of detailed on-chain metrics—such as transaction activity and address growth—remains a challenge, but the rise in futures trading and spot inflows points to strong short-term interest.

For long-term growth, ICP must maintain its position within decentralized AI networks and secure more institutional collaborations. Should AIO-2030 gain widespread adoption, ICP could cement its status as a key layer for DeAI; however, failure to achieve scale could see the token revert to previous volatility patterns.

Summary

ICP’s 30% price increase is the result of intersecting on-chain activity, shifting market sentiment, and the significant ecosystem development of AIO-2030. While technical signals and accumulation trends point to possible further gains, investors should remain mindful of the risks associated with a retest of crucial support levels. For those with a medium-term perspective, entry points between $5.40 and $5.91 may present opportunities, provided ICP continues to play a vital role in the evolving decentralized AI sector.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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