XRP News Today: XRP Price Showdown: Downward Pressure Faces Off Against Institutional Confidence

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XRP News Today: XRP Price Showdown: Downward Pressure Faces Off Against Institutional Confidence

Bitget-RWA2025/11/19 23:16

By:Bitget-RWA

- XRP faces a 25% price drop to $1.55 as technical breakdowns and weak sentiment indicators signal bearish momentum. - Analysts highlight conflicting forecasts: short-term bearish patterns vs. long-term institutional optimism driven by Ripple's regulatory progress and ODL adoption. - Derivatives market weakness (futures open interest down 62%) contrasts with strategic gains like SEC lawsuit resolution and cross-border payment utility expansion. - Key battlegrounds at $2.00 and $1.50 will determine whether

XRP is at a pivotal point as experts warn of a possible 25% drop to $1.55, citing weakening technicals and negative sentiment, even as some bullish predictions point to very different long-term outcomes. Over the last six months, the cryptocurrency has fallen 12%, caught in a tug-of-war between bearish trends and institutional optimism about its role in the global financial system.

A major bearish signal comes from a failed attempt to break out upward on the weekly chart,

noted by market analyst Nebraskangoon

. Since July, XRP had been trading within a descending triangle, briefly surging toward $3.65 in mid-2025 before sharply reversing. When the price fell below the triangle’s lower boundary at $2.20, it

set off a 30% retracement target

of $1.50, according to Nebraskangoon. This matches the broader market’s weakness, with only 58.5% of XRP’s circulating supply currently in profit and

26.5 billion tokens now at a realized loss

Sentiment among long-term holders is also turning more negative. Glassnode’s data shows a shift from optimism to concern among investors,

as tracked by net unrealized profit/loss

statistics. This change, along with a 240% jump in profit-taking since September, points to rising uncertainty. At the same time, the derivatives market shows declining speculative interest, with

XRP

futures open interest dropping to $3.8 billion—

a sharp fall from the $10 billion high

seen earlier this year.

XRP News Today: XRP Price Showdown: Downward Pressure Faces Off Against Institutional Confidence image 0

On the other hand, some analysts believe XRP could be on the verge of a multi-phase rally. ChartNerd’s “Staircase to Valhalla” approach

describes an Elliott Wave formation

that could see prices climb to $3, $7, or even $15. The analyst points to past periods of consolidation that led to explosive gains, such as a 500% jump in late 2024. Likewise,

Dominus claims XRP’s next upward move has started

, with a $14 target based on Binance’s price action. However, these optimistic scenarios depend on massive liquidity inflows and real-world use, with estimates suggesting $2 trillion in on-demand liquidity (ODL) would be necessary to support an $800 billion market cap

Weakness across the wider crypto market is adding to XRP’s difficulties.

Bitcoin’s recent death cross

—a bearish chart pattern—and Ethereum’s price slipping below $3,500 have unsettled investors. XRP’s open interest is stuck around $3.85 billion,

fueling worries about a possible drop

under $2.00. Still, institutional developments provide some support. Ripple’s settlement with the SEC, the introduction of U.S. spot XRP ETFs, and growing ODL use in APAC, MENA, and LATAM

highlight the token’s role

in international payments.

Clearer regulations and new partnerships—such as Ripple’s $500 million capital raise and its acquisitions of Palisade and Hidden Roads—are

seen as positive factors for the long term

. The XRP Ledger’s move into tokenized assets and CBDC interoperability pilots

could make it a key foundation

for digital finance infrastructure.

The next few months will be crucial for XRP. Although short-term technicals and sentiment are mostly negative, increased institutional use and utility-driven growth could still change its direction. Traders are divided between caution and hope, with the $2.00 psychological mark and $1.50 support area becoming decisive levels.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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