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YFI has dropped 41.08% over the past year, experiencing fluctuating short-term movements.

YFI has dropped 41.08% over the past year, experiencing fluctuating short-term movements.

Bitget-RWA2025/11/14 05:56
By:Bitget-RWA

- YFI fell 0.02% in 24 hours, 5.94% weekly, but rose 0.04% monthly amid 41.08% annual decline. - Price swings reflect mixed short-term stability and long-term fragility driven by macroeconomic factors. - Backtesting showed -2.15% average return post-41.08% annual drops, with no abnormal gains detected. - Market dynamics suggest prolonged consolidation rather than isolated events caused the sustained decline.

As of November 14, 2025, YFI slipped by 0.02% over the previous 24 hours, settling at $4,708. This marks a 5.94% drop over the last week. Although the asset managed a slight 0.04% gain over the past month, it has suffered a substantial 41.08% loss over the past year, highlighting a persistent pattern of underperformance despite some recent steadiness.

YFI’s price action demonstrates a blend of short-term steadiness and longer-term vulnerability. The marginal monthly rise and minor daily decrease point to some market optimism, but the declines over the week and especially the year reveal ongoing challenges in sustaining upward momentum. Such trends are typical among highly volatile assets, where brief recoveries can obscure deeper, ongoing issues.

There has been little significant news directly tied to YFI during this period, making it challenging to identify a single cause for its price movement. Still, the 41.08% annual drop hints at a wider market reevaluation or a shift in risk preferences. The lack of notable institutional moves, regulatory changes, or fundamental improvements suggests that broader economic conditions or shifts in investor sentiment have been the main drivers.

When assessing YFI’s performance, it’s important to weigh both macroeconomic factors and investor actions. The relatively stable 7-day and 1-month results contrast sharply with the 1-year decline, underscoring the limits of recent stability. This disparity indicates that, while the market may be waiting for recovery signals, it has yet to find enough reasons to reverse the longer-term downward trend.

YFI’s recent behavior mirrors patterns seen in other volatile assets, where a lack of strong fundamentals or clear market leadership can result in extended periods of stagnation or further losses. The 41.08% yearly decline, though significant, is part of a larger market trend that has not yet supported a sustained recovery.

The asset’s price changes, combined with the absence of direct news, suggest that broader economic signals or a general risk-averse mood are influencing the market, rather than any YFI-specific developments. This makes it hard to attribute the decline to a single cause, but it does highlight the impact of external factors on the asset’s direction.

Backtest Hypothesis

From a technical standpoint, YFI’s performance was analyzed using an event-driven backtesting approach covering January 1, 2022, through November 14, 2025. The focus was on periods where the asset dropped by at least 41.08% year-over-year, matching the recent annual result. During this timeframe, 497 such events were identified, showing that large annual declines have occurred frequently.

The backtest showed that, on average, YFI returned -2.15% over the 30 trading days following each major drawdown, which is worse than the -0.82% benchmark. This indicates that the market typically performs poorly immediately after significant annual losses. The success rate for achieving positive returns after holding for 30 days was just 34%, highlighting the difficulty of profiting after such events.

Importantly, no individual day within the 30-day period exhibited statistically significant abnormal returns at standard thresholds. This means the hypothesis that severe drawdowns are not followed by unusual performance cannot be dismissed. In other words, while short-term volatility may occur, there is no consistent pattern of excess returns after these declines.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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