The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October rises to 81% on Polymarket.
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According to Jinse Finance, the latest data from Polymarket shows that as of today, in the contract regarding "whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in October 2025," the probability of a "25 basis point rate cut" option has risen to 81%, reaching a historic high. In comparison, the likelihood of a "50 basis point rate cut" is 4%, the probability of "no change" is 16%, and the "rate hike" option is less than 1%.
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