TRUMP Token Unlock: Could It Trigger a Sell-Off or Rebound?

• The unlocking of 40 million $TRUMP tokens could flood the market with high supply.
• If the token’s demand remains strong, the $TRUMP token may stabilize and possibly rise.
• Investors are closely watching the April 18 unlock event for signs of market change.

The imminent unlocking of 40 million $TRUMP tokens on April 18 has raised concerns across the meme coin market. These tokens, valued at over $320 million, represent approximately 4% of the total supply and are predominantly controlled by entities affiliated with the Trump Organization. 

According to sources,  this injection of supply might provoke some upheaval in the market and may exert further downward pressure on the price of the $TRUMP token, which in turn may shake the confidence of investors in the token and cause an avalanche of sell-offs across the meme coin category.

Market Impact: A Potential Sell-Off

Since its debut in January 2025, the $TRUMP token has seen significant price fluctuations. As of press time, the token is hovering between $7.60 and $8.30, with the price stabilizing around $8.07. A Relative Strength Index of 53.52 indicates an average market position. Further, the token’s price closely rests on a triangular structure, which is generally a predictor of either a breakout or a breakdown in the future. However, the unlock could flood the market with tokens, exacerbating the already fragile price dynamics. 

Source: Tradingview

A market depth range of $980K to $2 million in a 2% range releases $320 million worth of tokens into a “death spiral,” according to Tokenomist. The entry of such big supplies into the market will invite an intense selling spree, which will continue to diminish the token’s value. Investor confidence has already been lost as per Dune Analytics, which says the number of wallets having more than $1,000 in $TRUMP has previously decreased from 143,000 to just 12,000.

Could the Unlock Spark a Rebound?

Despite the risk of a sell-off, there remains a possibility for a rebound if the market absorbs the newly unlocked tokens without disruption. If demand remains strong, the market may stabilize, potentially leading to a token price rise. The gradual absorption of the influx will put the token unlock under much-needed liquidity, thus attracting new investors and driving the price higher. However, the price trajectory of the token will be witnessed after the unlock, based on investor mood and market capacity. 

Related: Historic Win: Trump Signs First Ever Crypto Bill into Law

Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment for $TRUMP

Speculations are rife in the community over the token unlock event, however, a supply surge may lead either to a reverberating sell-off or to the liquidity needed for a market recovery. Demand for $TRUMP and absorption of the 40 million tokens without a price jolt will determine the situation. Investors wait in anticipation as the unlock will determine the turning point for political meme coins and not just another bump in the crypto hype cycle.

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