Bitcoin’s recent price drop has triggered a closer look at market trends, with cryptocurrency analytics firm CryptoQuant suggesting that the current corrective phase is part of a repeating historical pattern.
According to CryptoQuant’s analysis, Bitcoin is currently going through its third corrective phase in an ongoing bullish cycle that began in early 2023. This assessment is based on the UTXO Age Bands that track the distribution of Bitcoin assets over the years, specifically the 1-3 months and 3-6 months bands.
Bitcoin experienced similar multi-month corrections throughout the summers of 2023 and 2024, each lasting approximately six months. These phases were characterized by an upward trend in the 3-6 month band that gradually closed the gap to the 1-3 month band. Historically, this move served as a resistance zone that Bitcoin initially struggled with and eventually broke through, leading to renewed bullish momentum.
CryptoQuant suggests that if historical patterns hold, Bitcoin’s ongoing correction could last another two to three months. During this time, Bitcoin could continue to trade in the $80,000 to $100,000 range. However, a decisive break above $100,000 could signal the end of the correction and the start of Bitcoin’s next bullish phase, potentially targeting highs as high as $130,000.
Market participants are advised to closely monitor the structural dynamics of the premium bands. CryptoQuant argues that a confirmed break above the resistance could signal the start of the next parabolic leg of Bitcoin’s bull market, similar to past cycles.
*This is not investment advice.
