Analysis Company Shares the Level Where It Thinks “Bitcoin Price Will Never Go Down”
Cryptocurrency analytics firm Alphractal has shared its views on Bitcoin’s price trajectory, noting a long-term bullish outlook while acknowledging a gradual decline in growth rate across market cycles.
According to Alphractal’s logarithmic growth model, Bitcoin’s midpoint currently stands at $216,000 and continues to rise. However, the firm has adjusted its forecast by adding an additional support line below the midpoint, reflecting the slowing pace of market expansion over time.
Alphractal identifies $38,000 as the current oversold threshold, meaning that historically Bitcoin would be considered significantly undervalued below this level. The model suggests that this threshold will likely rise above $50,000 within a year, reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin’s long-term price floor is trending upward.
Even if Bitcoin fails to meet the most optimistic forecasts, Alphractal’s analysis argues that a drop below $30,000 is unlikely based on historical growth patterns alone.
Summarizing their outlook, Alphractal suggests that the current cycle will be considered successful as long as Bitcoin remains above $38,000. Even at this level, millions of Bitcoin addresses will continue to make significant profits.
*This is not investment advice.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Kodiak launches Berachain native perpetual contract platform—Kodiak Perps, enhancing its liquidity ecosystem
The native liquidity platform of the Berachain ecosystem, Kodiak, recently launched a new product, Kodiak Perps,...

Mars Morning News | Michael Saylor calls: Buy Bitcoin now
Trump Media & Technology Group’s Q3 losses widened to $54.8 million, and it holds substantial amounts of bitcoin and CRO tokens; US consumer confidence has fallen to a historic low; a whale bought the dip in ZEC and made a profit; a bitcoin whale transferred assets; Michael Saylor called for buying bitcoin; the Federal Reserve may initiate bond purchases. Summary generated by Mars AI. The accuracy and completeness of this content is still being iteratively updated by the Mars AI model.

MEET48: From Star-Making Factory to On-Chain Netflix — How AIUGC and Web3 Are Reshaping the Entertainment Economy
Web3 entertainment is moving from the retreat of the bubble to a moment of restart. Projects represented by MEET48 are reshaping content production and value distribution paradigms through the integration of AI, Web3, and UGC technologies. They are building sustainable token economies, evolving from applications to infrastructure, aiming to become the "Netflix on-chain" and driving large-scale adoption of Web3 entertainment.

Digital Euro: Italy Advocates for a Gradual Implementation

