On-chain data reveals the potential of BTC: March 2025 may reach a historic peak with a big peak

Bitget App

Trade smarter

CryptoChan2024/12/24 06:47

By:CryptoChan

According to the latest research by well-known analyst CryptoChan on the chain, the MVRV indicator (market value to actual value ratio) of BTC shows that the trend after the halving in 2024 is repeating historical patterns. The data shows that in the past two cycles (16-19 and 20-23), BTC has shown significant peaks within about 9-12 months after the halving, and the key time point of this cycle may be in March 2025.

It can be clearly seen in the chart:

The current cycle (black line) trend is highly consistent with the early stages of the previous two cycles (red line, blue line), and the accumulation stage after the halving is forming.

In history, when the MVRV indicator reaches a relatively high point, the market is often at a strong emotional high point, and this moment is often regarded as an import ant price turning point.

CryptoChan further pointed out that the historical pattern of the MVRV indicator not only provides a reference for market sentiment in the short term, but also reveals possible top signals in the market to some extent. However, there are macro environment and market sentiment variables behind each cycle. Therefore, although the data points to a clear direction, investors still need to be cautious in dealing with potential risks and fluctuations.

Currently, the market is moving towards the possible "highlight moment" in March 25. Does this mean that the next wave is on the way? It is worth every investor's attention.

On-chain data reveals the potential of BTC: March 2025 may reach a historic peak with a big peak image 0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Earn new token airdrops

Lock your assets and earn 10%+ APR

Lock now!

Wall Street financing costs are rising, highlighting signs of liquidity tightening. Although the Federal Reserve will stop quantitative tightening in December, institutions believe this is not enough and are calling on the Fed to resume bond purchases or increase short-term lending to ease the pressure.

Jin10•2025/11/13 14:07

The 12 trillion financing market is in crisis! Institutions urge the Federal Reserve to step up rescue efforts

Another Trump 2.0 era tragedy! The largest yen long position in nearly 40 years collapses

As the yen exchange rate hits a nine-month low, investors are pulling back from long positions. With a 300 basis point interest rate differential between the US and Japan, carry trades are dominating the market, putting the yen at further risk of depreciation.

Jin10•2025/11/13 14:06

Is a "cliff" in Russian oil production coming? IEA warns: US sanctions on Russia may have "far-reaching consequences"!

U.S. sanctions have dealt a heavy blow to Russia’s oil giants, and the IEA says this could have the most profound impact on the global oil market so far. Although Russian oil exports have not yet seen a significant decline, supply chain risks are spreading across borders.

Jin10•2025/11/13 14:06

Leading DEXs on Base and OP will merge and expand deployment to Arc and Ethereum

Uniswap's new proposal reduces LP earnings, while Aero integrates LPs into the entire protocol's cash flow.

深潮•2025/11/13 12:43