Analysis: Options market predicts expected volatility of around 8% the day after the U.S. presidential election
Bitcoin speculators are preparing to deal with potential market volatility after Tuesday's US election. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, a provider of encrypted derivative trading liquidity, said that the options market also indicates that the expected volatility on the day after the vote will be around 8%, while the normal rise or fall is usually around 2%. However, she also pointed out that there is no significant volatility premium in the market after November 7th, indicating that the market expects the election results to come out quickly. Analysis shows that Trump is leading Harris in the prediction market, which helped Bitcoin hit a historic high a week ago, but his odds have since fallen, leading to a drop in Bitcoin prices. In the final round of US voter intention polls, there are some signs that favor Harris.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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