THORChain (ERC20)の‌価格RUNE

Precision liquidity play into premium supply The recent price action on $RUNE has created one of the cleanest SMC-aligned sell setups we’ve seen in weeks. Below is a breakdown of the structure, the liquidity story, and why the current rally is likely a repricing into premium — not a bullish reversal. 1. Higher-Timeframe Structure Remains Bearish Even though price is currently pushing upward, the broader 2H trend remains intact: • Lower highs • Lower lows • No significant bullish break of structure • Previous supply zones remain unmitigated This means the market still favors sells from premium zones rather than chasing longs in discount. 2. Break of structure to the downside (BOS) Before the upside expansion, RUNE broke down the buy structure marked (X) that had been building under the range. This sweep is the engine that smart money often uses to fuel a retracement into premium. After that, the next logical target becomes buy-side liquidity sitting above. This aligns with the current price rally. 3. Price Is Repricing Into Premium, Not Reversing The impulsive upward move we’re seeing is simply: • inefficiency filling • mitigation of old supply • repricing back into a previous breakdown area The most important part: There is no structural evidence of a bullish trend shift. This is a recovery move back into premium pricing — exactly where institutional sellers typically re-enter. 4. Clear Buy-Side Liquidity Above ($) Just below my entry zone sits a cluster of buy-side liquidity (labeled $ on the chart). This liquidity is positioned perfectly as an inducement tool: Price is drawn to it. Once it’s cleared, smart money will seek supply. This is where the marked entry range becomes extremely relevant. 5. Entry Range = Unmitigated 2H Supply The zone marked (0.676 – 0.690) aligns with: • the last major up candle before the breakdown • a clean FVG + OB overlap • untouched supply since November • the origin of the displacement that created the bearish leg This is the first time price is returning to this zone. That alone increases probability significantly. It is the exact type of premium supply zone that often rejects price sharply. 6. Trade Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Setup Type: Liquidity sweep → Repricing → Supply tap → Short continuation Entry Zone: 0.676 – 0.690 (Premium OB / mitigation block) Invalidation: Break above the wick that caused displacement Target: First target at 0.596 (range low), extended targets below if momentum is strong 7. Why This Setup Is High-Probability • HTF bearish structure still intact • Sell-side liquidity sweep confirms inducement • Buy-side liquidity above acts as magnet • Clean, untouched supply zone overhead • Market is returning to premium after inefficient displacement This is a textbook smart money continuation model.

$RUNE ANALYSIS RUNE is consolidating within a falling wedge, currently holding above its support trendline. A solid breakout of the pattern could ignite a bullish rally. However, a breakdown below the support trendline would invalidate the formation.

$RUNE 3W 💰 - #RUNE is now in the final part of a 4 and a half year bull flag pattern, so you can build a good position when it reaches the lower level of this channel. ↗️

$RUNE 4hr Falling Wedge ! Are we finally going to see a Bullish reversal for #RUNE ? #Thorchain

$RUNE 4hr Formation ! #RUNE #Thorchain