Bitcoin Updates Today: MSCI's Index Decision May Change MicroStrategy's Classification, Potentially Weakening Bitcoin's Integration into Mainstream Finance
- JPMorgan warns MSCI excluding MicroStrategy from indices could trigger $11.6B in outflows, threatening its Bitcoin-linked valuation. - Strategy's stock now trades at 0.90x Bitcoin holdings (vs. 2.7x last year), reflecting index exclusion concerns over its 56% BTC portfolio. - MSCI evaluates if firms with >50% digital assets should stay in benchmarks, with decision due Jan 15 that could reclassify Strategy as an investment fund. - Active managers face reputational risks if Strategy is delisted, while its
JPMorgan Chase has cautioned that if
This alert comes as Strategy’s shares have lagged behind Bitcoin’s performance in recent months, with its market capitalization now trading at only a 0.90 premium over its Bitcoin assets—a steep drop from a 2.7 multiple a year prior,
MSCI is currently assessing whether companies whose digital asset holdings exceed half of their total assets should continue to be part of equity benchmarks. Strategy, which functions primarily as a Bitcoin treasury and lacks a traditional revenue model, is a prime example of this category. The consultation period for this review ends December 31,
The risks are not limited to passive investment vehicles. Active fund managers, though not required to mirror index changes, could still suffer reputational harm, increased borrowing costs, and diminished liquidity if Strategy is removed from indices. JPMorgan highlighted that the company’s stock price has recently fallen by more than 60% from its November 2024 peak—
Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of Strategy, has stood by the company’s Bitcoin-centric approach, envisioning a $1 trillion Bitcoin balance sheet to transform global finance. Yet, the current market climate—
The outcome of the January 15 decision could prove pivotal. Should MSCI opt for exclusion, Strategy’s valuation may become entirely dependent on Bitcoin’s price, eliminating the premium that has previously driven its growth. This would challenge Saylor’s vision of using Bitcoin to launch new financial products,
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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